Albania – Israel

Model: TIPPSA

Albania vs Israel

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.09
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 03, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 49d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.49% · n=175
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 49d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Israel. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: IsraelGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

20/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.26First seen
Current3.15Now
Max odds3.32Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AlbaniaHOME
VS
IsraelAWAY
L
Recent form
W
Avg goals scored
0.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.00
Shots on target for
0.00
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
0.00
Home splitL0.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.09. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.49% based on n=175 historical similar picks. The match belongs to International Match. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.09
V2 BandNONEROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 BandNONEROI -4.49% · n=175
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Israel has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Israel's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 3.8% 7D: 6.1% 15D: 21.0% 30D: 14.2%
Model insight

Albania – Israel Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.09. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.07% and -4.49%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample58
Win Rate36.2%
Profit+5.80u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINKuPS (W) - Aland United (W)3.00-1.07%
WINAnapolis FC - Botafogo PB3.10-1.07%
WINAC Boise - One Knoxville SC2.84-1.07%
WINFC Haka - KTP2.97-1.07%
LOSSValur Reykjavik - Keflavik2.93-1.07%
LOSSAvai - Cuiaba3.20-1.07%
WINSao Bernardo SP - EC Juventude3.22-1.07%
LOSSBelgrano (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)3.02-1.07%
Pick
2 @ 3.09
Kickoff
Giu 03, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.07% • n=461
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.49% • n=175
Start
Started 49d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 49d 13h ago
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