Model: TIPPSA

KuPS (W) vs Aland United (W)

PREDICTION

@ 3.00

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 18, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 9h 24m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.07% · n=461

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Aland United (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Aland United (W)

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.25First seen

Current3.25Now

Max odds3.25Highest point

Min odds3.25Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

KuPS (W)HOME

Aland United (W)AWAY

LLLWW

Recent form

WWLDL

Avg goals scored

1.80

Defensive weakness

1.80

1.20

Shots on target for

5.40

SoT conceded pressure

5.60

2.40

Home splitL-L-W-W-W2.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-W-L2.60 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.00. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.07% based on n=461 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.00

V2 BandNONEROI -1.07% · n=461

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -5.8% 7D: -17.9% 15D: -3.7% 30D: 13.8%

Model insight

KuPS (W) – Aland United (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.07% across 461 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample67

Win Rate40.3%

Profit+13.46u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Anapolis FC - Botafogo PB	3.10	-1.07%
WIN	AC Boise - One Knoxville SC	2.84	-1.07%
WIN	FC Haka - KTP	2.97	-1.07%
LOSS	Valur Reykjavik - Keflavik	2.93	-1.07%
LOSS	Avai - Cuiaba	3.20	-1.07%
WIN	Sao Bernardo SP - EC Juventude	3.22	-1.07%
WIN	Bahir Dar Kenema FC - Wolaita Dicha	2.82	-1.07%
LOSS	Belgrano (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	3.02	-1.07%

Pick

2 @ 3.00

Kickoff

Lug 18, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.07% • n=461

Start

Starts in 9h 24m

Updated

Updated 9m ago