GE Bage – Brasil de Pelotas

Model: TIPPSA

GE Bage vs Brasil de Pelotas

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.76
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 04, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 47d ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.70% · n=151
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.70% · n=151
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Brasil de Pelotas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Brasil de PelotasGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

60/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.37First seen
Current2.76Now
Max odds2.76Highest point
Min odds2.36Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

GE BageHOME
VS
Brasil de PelotasAWAY
DLWD
Recent form
DLWDW
Avg goals scored
0.75
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.75
0.60
Shots on target for
3.00
6.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.50
2.60
Home splitD-D1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-D-W-L-D0.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.76. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.70% based on n=151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Gaucho (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.76
V2 BandHIGHROI 7.70% · n=151
V4 BandHIGHROI 7.70% · n=151
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Brasil de Pelotas is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 3.8% 7D: 1.1% 15D: 22.5% 30D: 14.2%
Model insight

GE Bage – Brasil de Pelotas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.76. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.70% and 7.70%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample25
Win Rate36.0%
Profit+0.56u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSArarat Armenia - Shamrock Rovers3.007.70%
LOSSOLS - SalPa2.847.70%
LOSSFC Kitzbuhel - Hohenems2.827.70%
WINMaccabi Panthers Ashdod (W) - FC Ramat Hasharon (W)2.837.70%
LOSSDeportivo Moquegua - AD Tarma2.946.31%
LOSSMadura United - Bali United2.825.70%
LOSSBayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig3.006.31%
WINAubagne Air Bel - Stade Briochin2.765.70%
Pick
2 @ 2.76
Kickoff
Giu 04, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.70% • n=151
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.70% • n=151
Start
Started 47d ago
Updated
Updated 47d 2h ago
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