AC Izabelense – Carajas EC

Model: TipTromba35H

AC Izabelense vs Carajas EC

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.30
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 05, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 47d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.56% · n=265
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is AC Izabelense. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AC IzabelenseGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

50/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.70First seen
Current3.30Now
Max odds4.20Highest point
Min odds2.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AC IzabelenseHOME
VS
Carajas ECAWAY
WDL
Recent form
L
Avg goals scored
1.67
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.67
2.00
Shots on target for
8.00
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
2.67
6.00
Home splitW-L1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded
Away splitL1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.30. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.56% based on n=265 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Paraense A2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.30
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.56% · n=265
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, AC Izabelense shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. AC Izabelense is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 10.3% 7D: -1.1% 15D: 13.1% 30D: 12.7%
Model insight

AC Izabelense – Carajas EC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.30. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.56% across 265 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample148
Win Rate25.7%
Profit-23.37u
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Pick
1 @ 3.30
Kickoff
Giu 05, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.56% • n=265
Start
Started 47d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 4h ago
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