Itapirense U20 – Ferroviaria SP U20

Model: TipTromba45H

Itapirense U20 vs Ferroviaria SP U20

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.33
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 05, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 47d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.19% · n=77
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.19% · n=77
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Itapirense U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Itapirense U20Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.44First seen
Current4.68Now
Max odds4.68Highest point
Min odds4.44Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Itapirense U20HOME
VS
Ferroviaria SP U20AWAY
L
Recent form
W
Avg goals scored
0.00
2.00
Defensive weakness
2.00
0.00
Shots on target for
2.00
7.00
SoT conceded pressure
7.00
2.00
Home splitL0.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW2.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.33. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.19% based on n=77 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.33
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.19% · n=77
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.19% · n=77
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Itapirense U20. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 10.3% 7D: -1.1% 15D: 13.1% 30D: 12.7%
Model insight

Itapirense U20 – Ferroviaria SP U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.33. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.19% and 4.19%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample15
Win Rate20.0%
Profit-2.14u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSAFC Telford - Crewe4.204.86%
LOSSBristol Rovers - Portsmouth4.102.97%
LOSSJyTy - IFK Mariehamn II4.104.86%
LOSSAmericano RJ - Portuguesa RJ4.104.86%
LOSSSandhausen - Kaiserslautern4.202.97%
LOSSKelty Hearts - Dunfermline4.334.19%
LOSSAmericano MA - Tupan MA4.334.19%
LOSSGremio Desportivo Valparaiso U20 - Real Brasilia U204.334.19%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
JyTy - MaPS14.102.97%23 Jul 17:15
Pick
1 @ 4.33
Kickoff
Giu 05, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.19% • n=77
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.19% • n=77
Start
Started 47d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 9h ago
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