Model: TipTromba2H

Fencibles United vs Tauranga City AFC

PREDICTION

@ 1.60

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 06, 2026 7:00 AM

ResultWIN7 - 1

StartStarted 46d 16h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 47d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Fencibles United. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Fencibles UnitedGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

7/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.62First seen

Current1.60Now

Max odds1.62Highest point

Min odds1.60Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Fencibles UnitedHOME

Tauranga City AFCAWAY

WWWLD

Recent form

LWLWL

Avg goals scored

3.20

1.60

Defensive weakness

0.80

2.80

Shots on target for

8.20

3.80

SoT conceded pressure

1.80

6.20

Home splitW-L-L-W-W3.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-L-L0.80 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.60. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Northern League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.60

V2 BandNONEROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Fencibles United as the more reliable side. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Fencibles United is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -4.3% 7D: -12.6% 15D: 12.8% 30D: 14.0%

Model insight

Fencibles United – Tauranga City AFC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.60. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.38% across 1115 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample399

Win Rate64.2%

Profit+12.30u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	SKN St Polten (W) - Slovacko (W)	1.50	-1.89%
WIN	Rangers - St Etienne	1.62	-3.38%
WIN	Merthyr Town - Briton Ferry	1.53	-3.38%
WIN	JK Trans Narva II - Parnu JK Vaprus II	1.53	-1.89%
LOSS	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 - FA Tartu Kalev	1.73	-3.82%
LOSS	Toluca - Unam Pumas	1.70	-1.89%
LOSS	Santa Cruz Acre U20 - Independencia FC U20	1.62	-3.82%
LOSS	GKS Tychy 71 - MSK Povazska Bystrica	1.73	-1.89%

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Pick

1 @ 1.60

Kickoff

Giu 06, 2026 7:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.38% • n=1115

Start

Started 46d 16h ago

Updated

Updated 47d 5h ago