Model: TIPPSH
Fjolnir vs UMF Selfoss
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.04
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 06, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 3
StartStarted 50d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 50d 19h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Fjolnir. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FjolnirGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
29/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current2.04Now
Max odds2.17Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
FjolnirHOME
VS
UMF SelfossAWAY
LLWLW
Recent form
WWDWD
Avg goals scored
2.60
2.20
Defensive weakness
2.40
1.40
Shots on target for
6.20
7.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
6.20
Home splitL-W-W-W-L3.20 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-D-D-L1.75 scored / 1.75 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.04. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 2 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.04
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 6.0%
7D: -3.2%
15D: 17.0%
30D: 14.9%
Model insight
Fjolnir – UMF Selfoss Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.04. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample418
Win Rate47.6%
Profit-16.24u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Eintracht Frankfurt - Trabzonspor | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Kamuzu Barracks - MAFCO | 2.15 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE - SC Sopron | 1.89 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Karonga United - Creck SC | 1.88 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Ujpest II - BKV Elore SC | 1.83 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Malmo FF - Elfsborg | 1.87 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Rosenborg 2 - Strindheim | 1.87 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Sogndal - Ranheim | 2.10 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Los Andes - Deportivo Madryn | 1 | 2.00 | 1.04% | 26 Jul 20:00 |
| Fuerte San Francisco Reserves - CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves | 1 | 2.01 | 1.31% | 26 Jul 20:00 |
| CD Aguila Reserves - CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.04% | 26 Jul 20:00 |
| Ferrocarril Midland - Patronato Parana | 1 | 1.88 | 1.04% | 26 Jul 21:00 |
| Cruzeiro - Botafogo | 1 | 1.80 | 1.04% | 26 Jul 21:00 |
| Estudiantes LP - CA Independiente | 1 | 2.21 | 1.31% | 26 Jul 22:15 |
Pick
1 @ 2.04
Kickoff
Giu 06, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 50d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 50d 19h ago