Model: TIPPSH
Cruzeiro vs Botafogo
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.83
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 26, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 22h 37m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 1h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Cruzeiro. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CruzeiroGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.085 | A: 0.033Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
26/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.82First seen
Current1.83Now
Max odds1.83Highest point
Min odds1.78Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
CruzeiroHOME
VS
BotafogoAWAY
LWLWD
Recent form
WDWLW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.80
Shots on target for
5.80
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
5.40
Home splitL-L-W-D-W1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-D-W1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.83. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.83
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -12.2%
7D: -1.4%
15D: 10.6%
30D: 21.0%
Model insight
Cruzeiro – Botafogo Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.83. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample343
Win Rate46.6%
Profit-37.69u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Police AC - Aryan FC | 1.90 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Fuerte San Francisco Reserves - CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves | 2.01 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | CD Aguila Reserves - CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Eintracht Frankfurt - Trabzonspor | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Lokomotiv Tashkent - Sogdiana Jizzakh | 1.79 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE - SC Sopron | 1.89 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Karonga United - Creck SC | 1.88 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Ujpest II - BKV Elore SC | 1.83 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| CRB - Vila Nova | 1 | 1.95 | 1.31% | 28 Jul 00:30 |
| Union Espanola - Deportes Recoleta | 1 | 1.85 | 1.31% | 28 Jul 01:00 |
| UNAN Managua - Rancho Santana FC | 1 | 1.85 | 1.04% | 28 Jul 04:00 |
| Neftchi Fergana - Navbahor Namangan | 1 | 1.78 | 1.31% | 28 Jul 17:00 |
| CA Tigre - Nacional De Football | 1 | 2.08 | 1.04% | 29 Jul 00:00 |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tulsa | 1 | 1.92 | 1.04% | 30 Jul 01:00 |
| Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense | 1 | 1.98 | 1.04% | 31 Jul 00:30 |
Pick
1 @ 1.83
Kickoff
Lug 26, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 22h 37m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 1h ago