Model: TipTromba45H

Hamar Hveragerdi vs Arborg

PREDICTION

@ 4.20

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 11, 2026 11:15 PM

ResultWIN3 - 0

StartStarted 51d 21h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI 0.00% · n=160

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI 0.00% · n=160

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 52d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hamar Hveragerdi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hamar HveragerdiGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

43/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.33First seen

Current4.35Now

Max odds4.53Highest point

Min odds4.20Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hamar HveragerdiHOME

ArborgAWAY

WWWWW

Recent form

LWWDW

Avg goals scored

4.80

2.60

Defensive weakness

1.60

0.80

Shots on target for

8.40

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

5.40

5.80

Home splitW-W-W4.67 scored / 1.67 conceded

Away splitL-W-D-W1.25 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.20. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of 0.00% based on n=160 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 4 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.20

V2 BandNONEROI 0.00% · n=160

V4 BandNONEROI 0.00% · n=160

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Hamar Hveragerdi's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 77.2% 7D: -3.6% 15D: 6.7% 30D: 14.6%

Model insight

Hamar Hveragerdi – Arborg Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.20. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 0.00% and 0.00%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample20

Win Rate15.0%

Profit-7.47u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	CA Brown de Adrogue U20 - Arsenal de Sarandi U20	4.20	0.00%
LOSS	Tenerife - Getafe	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	Yunnan Yukun - Chengdu Rongcheng	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	Coleshill Town - Alvechurch	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	Darlington 1883 - Carlisle	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	GrIFK - AIFK	4.20	0.00%
LOSS	Biel Bienne - Yverdon Sport FC	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	Santa Cruz RJ - Perolas Negras	4.00	0.00%

Pick

1 @ 4.20

Kickoff

Giu 11, 2026 11:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.00% • n=160

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

0.00% • n=160

Start

Started 51d 21h ago

Updated

Updated 52d 11h ago