Model: TipA1
O’Connor Knights – Tuggeranong Utd
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 13, 2026 9:00 AM
ResultWIN2 - 3
StartStarted 8d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.85% · n=441
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10d 6h ago
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.06First seen
Current2.25Now
Max odds2.25Highest point
Min odds2.06Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | O'Connor Knights | Tuggeranong Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-W-L | W-L-W-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-L-L-W (home) | W-W-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 2.80 conceded | 2.50 scored / 2.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.40 for / 8.20 against | 8.20 for / 10.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.60 for / 8.60 against (home) | 8.75 for / 6.75 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Tuggeranong Utd a useful statistical edge. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Tuggeranong Utd has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 30.9%
7D: -1.5%
15D: 0.9%
30D: 15.5%
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.25. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.85% based on n=441 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Capital Territory Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
Pick2
Odd2.25
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151
V4 BandHIGHROI 6.85% · n=441
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh
Model insight
O’Connor Knights – Tuggeranong Utd Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.85% across 441 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample153
Win Rate41.2%
Profit-9.28u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Bentleigh Greens - South Melbourne | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Caroline Springs George Cross FC - Dandenong City | 2.40 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Sejong Sportstoto (W) - Incheon Red Angels (W) | 2.00 | 3.75% |
| LOSS | FC Kuressaare - JK Trans Narva | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | FC Arbaer - Ymir Kopavogur | 2.05 | 3.75% |
| LOSS | Brasil de Farroupilha - Santa Cruz RS | 2.20 | 3.75% |
| LOSS | Tusker - Kenya Police FC | 2.30 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | San Lorenzo U20 - Estudiantes LP U20 | 2.10 | 3.75% |
Pick
2 @ 2.25
Kickoff
Giu 13, 2026 9:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.85% • n=441
Start
Started 8d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 10d 6h ago