O’Connor Knights – Tuggeranong Utd

Model: TipA1

O'Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong Utd

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 13, 2026 9:00 AM
ResultWIN2 - 3
StartStarted 55d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.85% · n=441
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 57d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tuggeranong Utd. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tuggeranong UtdGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

52/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.06First seen
Current2.25Now
Max odds2.25Highest point
Min odds2.06Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

O'Connor KnightsHOME
VS
Tuggeranong UtdAWAY
LLLWL
Recent form
WLWLW
Avg goals scored
1.00
2.40
Defensive weakness
2.60
3.00
Shots on target for
4.40
8.20
SoT conceded pressure
8.20
10.20
Home splitL-L-L-L-W1.00 scored / 2.80 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-W2.50 scored / 2.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.25. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.85% based on n=441 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Capital Territory Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.25
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151
V4 BandHIGHROI 6.85% · n=441
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Tuggeranong Utd. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Tuggeranong Utd has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 30.9% 7D: -1.5% 15D: 0.9% 30D: 15.5%
Model insight

O’Connor Knights – Tuggeranong Utd Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.85% across 441 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample207
Win Rate41.5%
Profit-10.18u
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Pick
2 @ 2.25
Kickoff
Giu 13, 2026 9:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.85% • n=441
Start
Started 55d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 57d 7h ago
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