Lietava Jonava – FK Atmosfera

Model: TIPPSA

Lietava Jonava vs FK Atmosfera

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.28
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 12, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 54d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 54d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Atmosfera. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK AtmosferaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.21First seen
Current2.24Now
Max odds2.24Highest point
Min odds2.12Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Lietava JonavaHOME
VS
FK AtmosferaAWAY
DDLDL
Recent form
DWDLW
Avg goals scored
0.40
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.00
Shots on target for
1.60
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
2.60
Home splitD-D-D-L-L0.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitD-W-L-W2.00 scored / 0.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.28. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lithuania 1 Lyga (lt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.28
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. FK Atmosfera is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 35.3% 7D: 4.4% 15D: 1.6% 30D: 14.6%
Model insight

Lietava Jonava – FK Atmosfera Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.28. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample109
Win Rate45.9%
Profit+1.11u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSLarne FC - FC Iberia 19992.231.76%
LOSSWexford FC - Bray Wanderers2.280.84%
WINBrommapojkarna - Malmo FF2.081.21%
LOSSEstrela - Al-Nassr Riyadh2.231.21%
LOSSFK Ekranas - FK Zalgiris Vilnius II2.370.84%
LOSSCarina Gubin - Miedz Legnica II2.191.21%
WINSandviken - Kvik Halden FK2.330.84%
WINCoritiba - Cruzeiro2.340.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.28
Kickoff
Giu 12, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 54d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 54d 8h ago
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