Model: TIPPSA
Derry City – Bohemians Dublin
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.74
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 12, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultLOSS4 - 1
StartStarted 8d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8d 13h ago
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.38First seen
Current2.74Now
Max odds2.74Highest point
Min odds2.38Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Derry City | Bohemians Dublin |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-D-D-D | L-W-L-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-D-D-W (home) | L-W-W-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.20 scored / 0.40 conceded | 2.40 scored / 2.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.60 for / 2.80 against | 5.20 for / 4.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.40 for / 1.60 against (home) | 4.20 for / 4.80 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Bohemians Dublin has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 0.0%
7D: -2.5%
15D: -3.0%
30D: 12.0%
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.74. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland Premier Division (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
Pick2
Odd2.74
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh
Model insight
Derry City – Bohemians Dublin Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.74. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample18
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+5.32u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Tulsa - Colorado Switchbacks FC | 2.67 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Lyn 1896 - Bryne | 2.53 | 0.84% |
| WIN | ZED FC - Wadi Degla | 2.54 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | NK Primorje Ajdovscina - NK Nafta 1903 | 2.55 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Philadelphia Union II - Atlanta United II | 2.51 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Stjarnan - Fram Reykjavik | 2.55 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Hobro IK - Aarhus Fremad | 2.69 | 1.92% |
| WIN | Dynamo Makhachkala - Rostov | 2.69 | 1.92% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khangarid Klub - Deren FC | 2 | 2.63 | 0.84% | 21 Jun 13:00 |
Pick
2 @ 2.74
Kickoff
Giu 12, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 8d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 8d 13h ago