Model: TIPPSA
Stjarnan – Fram Reykjavik
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.56
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 22, 2026 11:15 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 4d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.09% · n=286
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4d 9h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Stjarnan | Fram Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-D-W-L-L | W-D-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-L-L-L (home) | W-D-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.40 scored / 2.20 conceded | 1.75 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.00 for / 7.40 against | 8.80 for / 4.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.80 for / 6.00 against (home) | 5.00 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Fram Reykjavik. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Fram Reykjavik is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.31First seen
Current2.55Now
Max odds2.62Highest point
Min odds2.31Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Stjarnan – Fram Reykjavik Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.56. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.09% across 286 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample26
Win Rate46.2%
Profit+3.82u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Unam Pumas - Cruz Azul | 2.38 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Philadelphia Union II - Atlanta United II | 2.51 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Frem - Holbæk | 2.39 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Rebordosa - Leca | 2.36 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Hobro IK - Aarhus Fremad | 2.69 | 1.92% |
| WIN | Dynamo Makhachkala - Rostov | 2.69 | 1.92% |
| LOSS | Charleroi - Genk | 2.58 | 1.92% |
| LOSS | Slovan Sabinov - FC Kosice B | 2.64 | 1.92% |
Pick
2 @ 2.56
Kickoff
Mag 22, 2026 11:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.09% • n=286
Start
Started 4d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 4d 9h ago