Arborg – Ellidi

Model: TIPPSA

Arborg vs Ellidi

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.67
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 18, 2026 11:15 PM
ResultLOSS6 - 0
StartStarted 44d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.77% · n=237
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.91% · n=90
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ellidi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: EllidiGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

74/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.43First seen
Current4.03Now
Max odds4.12Highest point
Min odds3.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ArborgHOME
VS
EllidiAWAY
WLWWD
Recent form
LWDLW
Avg goals scored
3.20
2.60
Defensive weakness
0.80
2.80
Shots on target for
7.20
6.40
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
5.60
Home splitW-W-W5.67 scored / 0.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-W2.00 scored / 2.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.67. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.91% based on n=90 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 4 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.67
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.77% · n=237
V4 BandELITEROI 9.91% · n=90
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -12.5% 7D: -12.1% 15D: -4.2% 30D: 8.2%
Model insight

Arborg – Ellidi Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.67. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.77% across 237 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 9.91% across 90 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample39
Win Rate10.3%
Profit-24.59u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFC Viktoriya Sumy - Kolos Kovalivka II3.684.77%
LOSSLeamington - Yate Town3.503.84%
LOSSCD Trasandino de Los Andes - General Velásquez3.464.77%
LOSSCSD Municipal - Cartagines3.852.78%
LOSSRosario Central - Racing Club3.803.92%
LOSSClub Atletico Libertad - Delfin SC3.694.77%
LOSSUniversitatea Cluj - Farul Constanta3.503.84%
LOSSOstersunds FK - Landskrona BoIS3.604.77%
Pick
2 @ 3.67
Kickoff
Giu 18, 2026 11:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.77% • n=237
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
9.91% • n=90
Start
Started 44d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 45d ago
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