Model: TipTromba4H
Souths United – Moreton City Excelsior B
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.50
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 20, 2026 12:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 18h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=331
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=331
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5m ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Souths United | Moreton City Excelsior B |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-W-L-L | W-L-D-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-W-W (home) | L-W-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 2.50 conceded | 1.75 scored / 1.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.60 for / 5.00 against | 9.20 for / 7.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.67 for / 5.33 against (home) | 10.00 for / 9.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Souths United. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -53.0%
7D: -24.2%
15D: -8.1%
30D: 8.0%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.50First seen
Current3.56Now
Max odds3.56Highest point
Min odds3.50Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Souths United – Moreton City Excelsior B Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.99% and 3.99%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample36
Win Rate38.9%
Profit+14.90u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Atletico River Plate Reserves - Montevideo Wanderers Reserves | 3.50 | 3.99% |
| LOSS | FC Wagadou - Colley Stars | 3.60 | 3.99% |
| LOSS | Atletico Camioneros - Arsenal de Sarandi | 3.60 | 3.99% |
| WIN | Afturelding - Stjarnan | 3.50 | 3.99% |
| WIN | Japan Youth - Canada Youth | 3.50 | 3.99% |
| LOSS | Garbarnia Krakow - Beskid Andrychow | 3.75 | 4.09% |
| WIN | Apice Calcio 1964 - Taranto | 3.75 | 4.84% |
| WIN | ADO Den Haag U21 - Cambuur Leeuwarden U21 | 3.60 | 3.99% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swarm FC (W) - Asheville City SC (W) | 1 | 3.75 | 4.09% | 18 Jun 01:30 |
| Riverside Olympic - Launceston City | 1 | 3.70 | 3.99% | 20 Jun 06:30 |
Pick
1 @ 3.50
Kickoff
Giu 20, 2026 12:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.99% • n=331
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.99% • n=331
Start
Starts in 2d 18h
Updated
Updated 5m ago