Souths United – Moreton City Excelsior B

Model: TipTromba4H

Souths United vs Moreton City Excelsior B

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 20, 2026 12:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 43d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=331
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=331
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 43d 22h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Souths United. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Souths UnitedGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

53/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.50First seen
Current3.81Now
Max odds3.81Highest point
Min odds3.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Souths UnitedHOME
VS
Moreton City Excelsior BAWAY
LLLWL
Recent form
WWLDW
Avg goals scored
1.00
2.60
Defensive weakness
2.20
1.20
Shots on target for
5.60
9.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
7.60
Home splitL-L-L-W-W1.20 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-D-D1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.50. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.99% based on n=331 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League 2 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.50
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.99% · n=331
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.99% · n=331
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 2.8% 7D: -10.8% 15D: -4.3% 30D: 8.7%
Model insight

Souths United – Moreton City Excelsior B Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.99% and 3.99%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample68
Win Rate35.3%
Profit+19.55u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSGuria Lanchkhuti - Aragvi Dusheti3.604.85%
LOSSFuerte San Francisco - Internacional Santa Tecla3.754.09%
WINBay Olympic - Auckland FC II3.503.99%
LOSSCF Os Belenenses - Estoril3.503.99%
LOSSMagic United - Brisbane Olympic FC3.504.85%
LOSSUnionistas de Salamanca CF - Burgos3.503.99%
LOSSDoncaster - Wolverhampton3.603.99%
LOSSNewport County - Reading3.754.84%
Pick
1 @ 3.50
Kickoff
Giu 20, 2026 12:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.99% • n=331
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.99% • n=331
Start
Started 43d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 43d 22h ago
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