Model: TIPPSH

Guria Lanchkhuti vs Aragvi Dusheti

PREDICTION

@ 2.05

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 02, 2026 4:30 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 2

StartStarted 2h 31m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 5h 53m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Guria Lanchkhuti. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Guria LanchkhutiGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.232 | A: 0.021

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.60First seen

Current2.20Now

Max odds3.70Highest point

Min odds2.20Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Guria LanchkhutiHOME

Aragvi DushetiAWAY

LWWWW

Recent form

WDWLW

Avg goals scored

3.00

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.20

0.80

Shots on target for

7.20

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

3.60

Home splitL-W-W-W-W3.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-L-D1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.05. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Georgia Cup (ge). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.05

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Guria Lanchkhuti a useful statistical edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Guria Lanchkhuti has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 28.0% 7D: 2.7% 15D: 10.1% 30D: 8.5%

Model insight

Guria Lanchkhuti – Aragvi Dusheti Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample464

Win Rate46.8%

Profit-23.96u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke	2.10	1.31%
WIN	Aragua - Bolivar SC	2.30	1.59%
WIN	Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa	2.22	1.04%
LOSS	Darmstadt - Portsmouth	1.91	1.31%
WIN	Lens - Villarreal	2.04	1.04%
LOSS	Real Sociedad B - Huesca	2.14	1.31%
LOSS	SSV Jeddeloh - FSV Schoningen	1.85	1.04%
LOSS	BK Hacken - Kalmar FF	1.81	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.05

Kickoff

Ago 02, 2026 4:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 2h 31m ago

Updated

Updated 5h 53m ago