Model: TIPPSH

Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali

PREDICTION

@ 1.75

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 18, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultWIN5 - 3

StartStarted 45d ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 45d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Dinamo Tbilisi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Dinamo TbilisiGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

5/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.78First seen

Current1.75Now

Max odds1.78Highest point

Min odds1.70Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Dinamo TbilisiHOME

SamguraliAWAY

WLWLD

Recent form

LWWWL

Avg goals scored

2.40

2.20

Defensive weakness

1.40

2.20

Shots on target for

7.40

5.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

5.40

Home splitW-L-W-W-L1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-L-L1.60 scored / 3.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Georgia Erovnuli Liga (ge). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.75

V2 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356

V4 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market is strongly leaning toward Dinamo Tbilisi, but the statistical edge looks less pronounced. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Dinamo Tbilisi's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 2.8% 7D: -10.8% 15D: -4.3% 30D: 8.7%

Model insight

Dinamo Tbilisi – Samgurali Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.75. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -4.66% and -4.66%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample286

Win Rate58.7%

Profit-3.63u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FC Nordsjaelland - Randers FC	1.65	-6.04%
WIN	Qviding FIF - BK Astrio	1.62	-10.11%
WIN	Deportivo Santaní - Encarnacion FC	1.70	-7.35%
WIN	Legia Warsaw - Zaglebie Lubin	1.62	-7.35%
WIN	Bocas - Veraguas United Reserves	1.63	-10.11%
WIN	Racing Louisville FC (W) - Chicago Stars (W)	1.71	-9.21%
LOSS	Molde - Sarpsborg	1.67	-9.21%
LOSS	SFK Vrchovina - FK Blansko	1.75	-6.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.75

Kickoff

Giu 18, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -4.66% • n=356

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-4.66% • n=356

Start

Started 45d ago

Updated

Updated 45d 2h ago