Model: TipTromba3H

Auckland FC II vs Western Springs AFC

PREDICTION

@ 2.75

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 19, 2026 11:00 AM

ResultLOSS0 - 1

StartStarted 46d 13h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.49% · n=299

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 47d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Auckland FC II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Auckland FC IIGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

48/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Auckland FC IIHOME

Western Springs AFCAWAY

LLDWW

Recent form

WDWLL

Avg goals scored

0.80

1.60

Defensive weakness

0.80

2.40

Shots on target for

3.80

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

7.00

Home splitL-W-L-W-L0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-D-L-W-L1.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.75. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.49% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Northern League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.75

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.49% · n=299

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 12.3% 7D: -4.8% 15D: -5.0% 30D: 9.6%

Model insight

Auckland FC II – Western Springs AFC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.49% across 299 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample156

Win Rate36.5%

Profit-3.97u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Sportivo Ameliano (W) - Sportivo Luqueno (W)	2.90	4.49%
LOSS	NEC - Sevilla	2.75	4.49%
LOSS	Stal Brzeg - LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	2.70	2.55%
LOSS	Sunderland - Leeds	2.50	2.55%
LOSS	NK Kustosija - Karlovac	2.90	4.49%
WIN	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Petah Tikva	2.80	4.49%
WIN	Kedah FA U20 - Kuching City U20	2.55	2.55%
LOSS	SC Lokeren-Temse - NAC	2.80	4.49%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Universidad de Concepcion - Curico Unido	1	2.88	4.49%	05 Aug 01:30

Pick

1 @ 2.75

Kickoff

Giu 19, 2026 11:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.49% • n=299

Start

Started 46d 13h ago

Updated

Updated 47d 14h ago