Model: TIPPSA
Galway United – Derry City
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.16
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 19, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 1d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.76% · n=235
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 13h ago
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.34First seen
Current2.33Now
Max odds2.38Highest point
Min odds2.32Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Galway United | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-D-L-W | L-W-L-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-L-L-D (home) | L-L-D-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.40 scored / 2.20 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.60 for / 6.80 against | 4.00 for / 2.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.60 for / 4.60 against (home) | 4.00 for / 4.20 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 30.2%
7D: 7.9%
15D: 1.5%
30D: 9.6%
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.16. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.76% based on n=235 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland Premier Division (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
Pick2
Odd2.16
V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 BandNONEROI -1.76% · n=235
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityLow
Model insight
Galway United – Derry City Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.16. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.84% and -1.76%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample36
Win Rate44.4%
Profit-1.89u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Drogheda United - Shelbourne | 2.06 | -0.84% |
| WIN | Fenix - Leones de Rosario | 2.14 | -0.84% |
| LOSS | Moreton City Excelsior (W) - Palm Beach SC (W) | 2.13 | -0.84% |
| WIN | HPS - Kiffen | 2.22 | -0.84% |
| WIN | Olimpia Elblag II - DKS Dobre Miasto | 2.08 | -0.84% |
| LOSS | Panama - Bosnia-Herzegovina | 2.14 | -0.84% |
| LOSS | UCD II - Ballymun United | 2.09 | -0.84% |
| LOSS | CEFAT Tirol - Ferroviario | 2.14 | -0.84% |
Pick
2 @ 2.16
Kickoff
Giu 19, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.76% • n=235
Start
Started 1d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 13h ago