Model: TIPPSA
Drogheda United – Shelbourne
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.08
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 19, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 6h 43m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8h 58m ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Drogheda United | Shelbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-D-D-L | D-W-D-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-D-D-W-W (home) | D-D-W-D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded | 1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.40 for / 5.00 against | 6.20 for / 3.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 5.20 against (home) | 3.60 for / 3.80 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Shelbourne. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shelbourne is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 50.7%
7D: 5.8%
15D: 1.1%
30D: 7.5%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.92First seen
Current2.08Now
Max odds2.08Highest point
Min odds1.92Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Drogheda United – Shelbourne Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.08. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.84% across 515 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample36
Win Rate44.4%
Profit-1.89u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Fenix - Leones de Rosario | 2.14 | -0.84% |
| LOSS | Moreton City Excelsior (W) - Palm Beach SC (W) | 2.13 | -0.84% |
| WIN | HPS - Kiffen | 2.22 | -0.84% |
| WIN | Olimpia Elblag II - DKS Dobre Miasto | 2.08 | -0.84% |
| LOSS | Panama - Bosnia-Herzegovina | 2.14 | -0.84% |
| LOSS | UCD II - Ballymun United | 2.09 | -0.84% |
| LOSS | CEFAT Tirol - Ferroviario | 2.14 | -0.84% |
| WIN | Egersund - Stromsgodset | 2.06 | -0.84% |
Pick
2 @ 2.08
Kickoff
Giu 19, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Start
Started 6h 43m ago
Updated
Updated 8h 58m ago