UCD II – Ballymun United

Model: TIPPSA

UCD II vs Ballymun United

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.26
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 05, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS5 - 3
StartStarted 48d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ballymun United. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Ballymun UnitedGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.09First seen
Current2.28Now
Max odds2.35Highest point
Min odds2.09Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

UCD IIHOME
VS
Ballymun UnitedAWAY
WWLWL
Recent form
LLLLW
Avg goals scored
2.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
2.00
4.60
Shots on target for
6.20
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
8.40
6.80
Home splitW-W-L3.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-W2.00 scored / 4.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.26. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.26
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 9.7% 7D: 1.3% 15D: 17.8% 30D: 15.7%
Model insight

UCD II – Ballymun United Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample108
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+7.37u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSWaldhof Mannheim - FC Liefering2.510.84%
WINTorpedo Kutaisi - Zira IK2.151.21%
LOSSHolstein Kiel - Al Ahli Jeddah2.420.84%
WINRadomiak Radom - Hapoel Beer Sheva2.041.21%
LOSSFortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U202.111.21%
WINBentleigh Greens - Altona Magic2.290.84%
WINHolland Park Hawks - Redlands United2.031.21%
LOSSGalway United - Derry City2.350.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.26
Kickoff
Giu 05, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 48d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 11h ago
Torna in alto