South Melbourne (W) – Melbourne Victory NPL (W)

Model: TIPPSH

South Melbourne (W) vs Melbourne Victory NPL (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.63
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 20, 2026 9:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 2d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is South Melbourne (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: South Melbourne (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value / Risk

Combined statistical signal strength from shots and shots on target ratings.

N/A/100
N/A

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.51First seen
Current1.63Now
Max odds4.77Highest point
Min odds1.42Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

South Melbourne (W)

DWWWL
Avg goals scored1.80
Avg goals conceded1.20
Shots on target7.40 for / 4.40 against
Home formD-W-W-W-W
3.40 scored / 0.80 conceded
10.20 for / 3.20 against (home)

Melbourne Victory NPL (W)

DLWLW
Avg goals scored1.00
Avg goals conceded1.00
Shots on target6.60 for / 5.00 against
Away formD-L-W-L-W
1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded
4.00 for / 3.60 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors South Melbourne (W), and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 13.3% 7D: 9.5% 15D: -0.4% 30D: 8.1%

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Victoria Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.63
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh
Model insight

South Melbourne (W) – Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample152
Win Rate55.9%
Profit-9.33u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSApotheos - Birmingham Legion FC Futures1.71-9.21%
WINGladesville Ravens (W) - Western City Rangers (W)1.63-7.35%
WINKuching City U20 - Penang U201.62-9.21%
WINFyllingsdalen (W) - Klepp (W)1.70-9.21%
WINPocheon Citizen FC - Gangneung City1.63-7.35%
WINUSA - Australia1.65-7.35%
WINRewa FC - Navua FC1.71-6.04%
WINSpring Hills FC (W) - Bentleigh Greens (W)1.63-9.21%
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KuPS Kuopio - FC Ilves11.65-6.04%23 Jun 17:00
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Pick
1 @ 1.63
Kickoff
Giu 20, 2026 9:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Started 2d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 12h ago
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