Logan Lightning – Capalaba FC

Model: TIPPSH

Logan Lightning vs Capalaba FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.72
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 05, 2026 2:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarted 43d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Logan Lightning. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Logan Lightning

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.58First seen
Current1.72Now
Max odds1.72Highest point
Min odds1.58Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Logan LightningHOME
VS
Capalaba FCAWAY
WDWWL
Recent form
LLLLL
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
3.60
Shots on target for
3.60
2.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
6.60
Home splitW-D-L0.33 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L0.50 scored / 3.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.72. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.72
V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Logan Lightning as the more reliable side. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Logan Lightning has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -1.9% 7D: -2.3% 15D: 21.7% 30D: 13.8%
Model insight

Logan Lightning – Capalaba FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.72. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample216
Win Rate58.3%
Profit-4.43u
Historical Similar Predictions
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LOSSMan Utd - Wrexham1.71-9.21%
WINBeijing Guoan U20 - Henan U201.64-7.35%
LOSSThe Town - North Texas SC1.74-9.21%
WINHouston Dynamo II - Colorado Rapids II1.66-9.21%
WINMontpellier - Le Puy1.68-9.21%
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Pick
1 @ 1.72
Kickoff
Giu 05, 2026 2:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-7.35% • n=1010
Start
Started 43d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 10h ago
Torna in alto