Model: TIPPSH

Guijuelo vs CDA Palencia

PREDICTION

@ 1.70

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 07, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarted 54d 18h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 54d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Guijuelo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: GuijueloGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

3/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.70First seen

Current1.70Now

Max odds1.70Highest point

Min odds1.70Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

GuijueloHOME

CDA PalenciaAWAY

LWWDW

Recent form

WLLWW

Avg goals scored

2.20

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.20

Shots on target for

5.67

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.33

3.20

Home splitL-W-W-L-W2.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-L-W1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.70. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Tercera Group 8 (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.70

V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Guijuelo's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -17.9% 7D: -13.5% 15D: -2.4% 30D: 12.7%

Model insight

Guijuelo – CDA Palencia Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.70. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample265

Win Rate57.4%

Profit-9.55u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Gamle Oslo - FK Union Carl Berner	1.66	-7.35%
LOSS	ADO Den Haag - Asteras Tripolis	1.67	-9.21%
LOSS	Bray Wanderers - Kerry FC	1.67	-7.35%
WIN	Hume City - Melbourne City FC 2	1.73	-9.21%
WIN	UMF Selfoss - Dalvik/Reynir	1.67	-4.66%
WIN	Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves - Villa Dalmine Reserves	1.68	-6.04%
WIN	Chungnam Asan FC - Siheung City AC	1.72	-6.04%
LOSS	Crusaders - Newington FC	1.65	-9.21%

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Pick

1 @ 1.70

Kickoff

Giu 07, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970

Start

Started 54d 18h ago

Updated

Updated 54d 20h ago