Model: TIPPSA
Ituano – Figueirense
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.81
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 21, 2026 3:30 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 1h 51m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.78% · n=52
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3h 53m ago
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.10First seen
Current4.10Now
Max odds4.10Highest point
Min odds4.10Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Ituano | Figueirense |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-W-W-W | W-W-D-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W-L-W (home) | W-D-W-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.80 for / 5.60 against | 4.80 for / 3.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 4.40 against (home) | 3.00 for / 4.80 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 14.8%
7D: 8.6%
15D: -2.0%
30D: 7.7%
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.81. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.78% based on n=52 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
Pick2
Odd3.81
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.78% · n=52
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow
Model insight
Ituano – Figueirense Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.81. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.78% across 52 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample27
Win Rate11.1%
Profit-15.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Sarpsborg 08 U19 - KFUM U19 | 3.89 | 3.99% |
| LOSS | USA - Paraguay | 3.97 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | Askoe Oedt - Deutschlandsberger SC | 4.04 | 2.78% |
| LOSS | Ranheim - Sandnes Ulf | 3.75 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | Los Angeles FC - Seattle Sounders | 3.65 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Grasshoppers - Aarau | 3.58 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | FC Inter II - KUPS Akatemia | 3.70 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | Cobh Ramblers - Athlone Town | 3.59 | 3.04% |
Pick
2 @ 3.81
Kickoff
Giu 21, 2026 3:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.78% • n=52
Start
Started 1h 51m ago
Updated
Updated 3h 53m ago