Model: TIPPSA

USA vs Paraguay

PREDICTION

@ 4.17

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 13, 2026 5:00 AM

ResultLOSS4 - 1

StartStarted 47d 6h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.92% · n=146

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 47d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Paraguay. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: ParaguayGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

57/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.21First seen

Current4.17Now

Max odds4.33Highest point

Min odds3.97Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

USAHOME

ParaguayAWAY

WLW

Recent form

Avg goals scored

2.67

2.50

Defensive weakness

1.67

2.00

Shots on target for

5.00

8.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.67

3.00

Home splitW-L-W2.67 scored / 1.67 conceded

Away splitL1.00 scored / 4.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.17. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.92% based on n=146 historical similar picks. The match belongs to World Cup 2026. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd4.17

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.92% · n=146

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Paraguay has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -18.0% 7D: -7.5% 15D: -2.8% 30D: 11.5%

Model insight

USA – Paraguay Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.92% across 146 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample9

Win Rate11.1%

Profit-5.03u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	CD Los Chankas - Sport Boys	4.07	3.92%
LOSS	Vaxjo (W) - IK Uppsala (W)	4.17	3.92%
LOSS	Askoe Oedt - Deutschlandsberger SC	4.04	2.78%
LOSS	Junior - Independiente Santa Fe	4.10	3.92%
LOSS	Gremio Novorizontino - Ceara	4.08	3.99%
LOSS	Cerezo Osaka - V-Varen Nagasaki	4.10	3.07%
WIN	Jacuipense - Imperatriz	3.97	3.07%
LOSS	Goias - Criciuma	4.18	3.07%

Pick

2 @ 4.17

Kickoff

Giu 13, 2026 5:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.92% • n=146

Start

Started 47d 6h ago

Updated

Updated 47d 8h ago