Model: TIPPSA
USA – Paraguay
PREDICTION
2
@ 4.17
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 13, 2026 5:00 AM
ResultLOSS4 - 1
StartStarted 2d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.92% · n=146
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 7h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | USA | Paraguay |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-W | L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.67 | 2.50 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-W (home) | L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.67 scored / 1.67 conceded | 1.00 scored / 4.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.00 for / 2.67 against | 8.00 for / 3.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 2.67 against (home) | 1.00 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Paraguay has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -22.5%
7D: -9.4%
15D: -3.5%
30D: 11.2%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.21First seen
Current4.17Now
Max odds4.33Highest point
Min odds3.97Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
USA – Paraguay Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.92% across 146 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample8
Win Rate12.5%
Profit-4.03u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Vaxjo (W) - IK Uppsala (W) | 4.17 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | Askoe Oedt - Deutschlandsberger SC | 4.04 | 2.78% |
| LOSS | Junior - Independiente Santa Fe | 4.10 | 3.92% |
| LOSS | Gremio Novorizontino - Ceara | 4.08 | 3.99% |
| LOSS | Cerezo Osaka - V-Varen Nagasaki | 4.10 | 3.07% |
| WIN | Jacuipense - Imperatriz | 3.97 | 3.07% |
| LOSS | Goias - Criciuma | 4.18 | 3.07% |
Pick
2 @ 4.17
Kickoff
Giu 13, 2026 5:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.92% • n=146
Start
Started 2d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 7h ago