Paraguay vs Australia
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Paraguay. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: ParaguayGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.65. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.94% based on n=311 historical similar picks. The match belongs to World Cup 2026. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Paraguay. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Paraguay has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Paraguay – Australia Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | AZS UJ Krakow (W) - Slask Wroclaw (W) | 2.40 | 8.94% |
| WIN | Valentine Phoenix - Charlestown Azzurri | 2.46 | 8.94% |
| LOSS | ND Beltinci - Sharjah SCC | 2.44 | 8.94% |
| LOSS | Servette - Basel | 2.40 | 8.94% |
| LOSS | Bangor Celtic FC - College Corinthians FC | 2.55 | 8.94% |
| WIN | Heidelberg Utd U23 - Oakleigh Cannons U23 | 2.63 | 8.94% |
| WIN | Monterey Bay FC - El Paso Locomotive FC | 2.51 | 8.94% |
| LOSS | Myanmar (W) - Uzbekistan (W) | 2.45 | 11.02% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Arges Pitesti - Petrolul Ploiesti | 1 | 2.43 | 8.94% | 24 Jul 20:30 |
| Kispest Honved - MTK Budapest | 1 | 2.54 | 8.94% | 01 Aug 19:30 |
| Toluca - Los Angeles FC | 1 | 2.61 | 8.94% | 09 Aug 05:10 |
| Banik Ostrava B - FC Silon Taborsko | 1 | 2.73 | 8.94% | 09 Aug 14:30 |
| NEC - Olympiacos | 1 | 2.70 | 11.02% | 11 Aug 19:30 |