Hamar Hveragerdi – Ellidi

Model: TipTromba2H

Hamar Hveragerdi vs Ellidi

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.67
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 24, 2026 11:15 PM
ResultWIN4 - 0
StartStarted 46d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hamar Hveragerdi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hamar HveragerdiGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

14/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.67First seen
Current1.67Now
Max odds1.67Highest point
Min odds1.67Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hamar HveragerdiHOME
VS
EllidiAWAY
WWWWW
Recent form
LLWDL
Avg goals scored
5.00
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.20
3.40
Shots on target for
8.60
6.40
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
5.60
Home splitW-W-W-W4.50 scored / 1.25 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-W-W1.60 scored / 2.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.67. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 4 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.67
V2 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Hamar Hveragerdi has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -35.0% 7D: 1.6% 15D: -0.9% 30D: -1.1%
Model insight

Hamar Hveragerdi – Ellidi Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.67. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.89% and -1.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample486
Win Rate63.2%
Profit+7.04u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSUKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) - Resovia Rzeszow (W)1.62-3.38%
WINVJS Vantaa II - Tips Vantaa1.65-3.38%
WINSanta Ana - AD Carmelita1.73-3.38%
WINYoung Boys II - Lugano II1.62-3.82%
WINSigma Olomouc B - Slovacko II1.53-1.89%
WINSao Jose SP - Santo Andre SP1.50-3.38%
WINGuanabara City U20 - Sao Luiz U201.67-1.89%
WINSporting Hasselt - Belisia Bilzen SV1.53-3.38%
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Pick
1 @ 1.67
Kickoff
Giu 24, 2026 11:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.89% • n=1157
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.89% • n=1157
Start
Started 46d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 19h ago
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