East Coast Bays – Auckland City

Model: TIPPSH

East Coast Bays vs Auckland City

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.68
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 24, 2026 11:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarted 46d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.31% · n=19
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.31% · n=19
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 46d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is East Coast Bays. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: East Coast BaysGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.90First seen
Current4.05Now
Max odds4.05Highest point
Min odds2.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

East Coast BaysHOME
VS
Auckland CityAWAY
WLDDL
Recent form
LWDDW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.00
Shots on target for
5.00
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
5.60
Home splitD-D-W-W-W1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-W-D1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.68. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.31% based on n=19 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Northern League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.68
V2 BandNONEROI -1.31% · n=19
V4 BandNONEROI -1.31% · n=19
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -19.2% 7D: 5.5% 15D: 1.5% 30D: -0.1%
Model insight

East Coast Bays – Auckland City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.68. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.31% and -1.31%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample3
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-3.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSBonner SC - Rot-Weiss Oberhausen3.74-1.88%
LOSSChungbuk Cheongju - FC Anyang3.64-1.88%
LOSSWuxi Wugo - Qingdao Hainiu3.60-1.88%
Pick
1 @ 3.68
Kickoff
Giu 24, 2026 11:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.31% • n=19
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.31% • n=19
Start
Started 46d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 46d 23h ago
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