Model: TIPPSH

FK Transinvest (W) vs Kauno Rajono FA (W)

PREDICTION

@ 2.15

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 24, 2026 2:00 PM

ResultWIN6 - 1

StartStarted 47d 22h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 48d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Transinvest (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK Transinvest (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.25First seen

Current2.15Now

Max odds2.25Highest point

Min odds2.10Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK Transinvest (W)HOME

Kauno Rajono FA (W)AWAY

WLLDL

Recent form

LDDLD

Avg goals scored

1.60

0.80

Defensive weakness

2.20

2.60

Shots on target for

7.20

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

8.60

7.60

Home splitW-L-L-D2.50 scored / 3.25 conceded

Away splitL-L-L0.33 scored / 4.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lithuania A Lyga Women (lt). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.15

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. FK Transinvest (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -11.1% 7D: 2.0% 15D: 2.5% 30D: 0.3%

Model insight

FK Transinvest (W) – Kauno Rajono FA (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample493

Win Rate47.1%

Profit-5.63u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Olympic Mobiuz - Shurtan	1.90	1.04%
LOSS	Botev Vratsa - Slavia Sofia	1.93	1.04%
LOSS	Nacional de Montevideo Reserves - Montevideo Wanderers Reserves	2.20	1.31%
WIN	Planalto EC (W) - Pantanal (W)	2.12	1.04%
LOSS	Huachipato (W) - Palestino (W)	2.37	1.59%
LOSS	JS Hercules - SJK Akatemia II	2.32	1.59%
LOSS	Lujan - Central Cordoba de Rosario	2.07	1.04%
WIN	Polissya Zhytomyr - FC Kharkiv	1.95	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.15

Kickoff

Giu 24, 2026 2:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.63% • n=470

Start

Started 47d 22h ago

Updated

Updated 48d 16h ago