Model: TIPPSH
Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.95
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 10, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 11h 13m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Botev Vratsa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Botev VratsaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.056 | A: 0.257Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
28/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.02First seen
Current1.93Now
Max odds2.02Highest point
Min odds1.92Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Botev VratsaHOME
VS
Slavia SofiaAWAY
LLDWD
Recent form
DLDWW
Avg goals scored
1.20
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.40
0.80
Shots on target for
3.20
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
4.00
Home splitD-W-D-W-W1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-D0.20 scored / 1.60 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.95. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bulgaria First League (bg). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.95
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 6.5%
7D: 7.3%
15D: 10.0%
30D: 9.6%
Model insight
Botev Vratsa – Slavia Sofia Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.95. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample583
Win Rate49.9%
Profit-13.95u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Planalto EC (W) - Pantanal (W) | 2.12 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Coatepeque FC - Juventud Copalera | 1.87 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Basel - FC Thun | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Lujan - Central Cordoba de Rosario | 2.07 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | CS Deportivo Sacachispas - Mictlán | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Police AC - Rainbow AC | 1.93 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Alemannia Aachen - Verl | 2.17 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Ehime FC - Nara Club | 1.79 | 1.04% |
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| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Polissya Zhytomyr - FC Kharkiv | 1 | 1.95 | 1.31% | 10 Aug 14:30 |
| Nacional de Montevideo Reserves - Montevideo Wanderers Reserves | 1 | 2.20 | 1.31% | 10 Aug 15:30 |
| Carshalton Ath - Wingate & Finchley | 1 | 1.83 | 1.04% | 10 Aug 20:45 |
| Apia L Tigers - Sydney United 58 | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 12 Aug 11:30 |
| Bragantino - Atletico Mineiro | 1 | 2.00 | 1.04% | 13 Aug 00:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.95
Kickoff
Ago 10, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Starts in 11h 13m
Updated
Updated 10m ago