Americano MA vs Tupan MA
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Americano MA. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Americano MAValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.33. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.19% based on n=77 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Maranhense B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Americano MA's attacking profile.
Americano MA – Tupan MA Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Gremio Desportivo Valparaiso U20 - Real Brasilia U20 | 4.33 | 4.19% |
| LOSS | America RJ - XV Piracicaba | 4.10 | 2.97% |
| LOSS | Mayfield United - Midleton FC | 4.33 | 4.19% |
| LOSS | Itapirense U20 - Ferroviaria SP U20 | 4.33 | 4.19% |
| WIN | Altona Magic U23 - Oakleigh Cannons U23 | 4.20 | 4.86% |
| LOSS | AIK (W) - Malmo FF (W) | 4.10 | 4.86% |
| WIN | University NSW - Sydney United 58 | 4.33 | 4.19% |
| WIN | Transport United FC - Thimphu City | 4.33 | 4.19% |