Americano MA – Tupan MA

Model: TipTromba45H

Americano MA vs Tupan MA

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.33
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 24, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 57d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.19% · n=77
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.19% · n=77
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 57d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Americano MA. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Americano MAGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Balanced

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Americano MAHOME
VS
Tupan MAAWAY
DW
Recent form
DDWLD
Avg goals scored
1.50
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.60
Shots on target for
7.00
4.25
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
4.25
Home splitD2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitD-D-L-D1.75 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.33. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.19% based on n=77 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Maranhense B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.33
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.19% · n=77
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.19% · n=77
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Americano MA has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -4.2% 7D: -4.4% 15D: 1.4% 30D: -0.2%
Model insight

Americano MA – Tupan MA Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.33. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.19% and 4.19%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample27
Win Rate22.2%
Profit-1.41u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINAtletico Barinas - Zamora4.202.97%
LOSSAFC Eskilstuna - IK Oddevold4.204.86%
LOSSHope Internacional FC - AA Iguacu4.104.86%
WINDunarea Giurgiu - Cetatea Turnu Magurele4.334.19%
LOSSPolisportiva Ossese - Torres4.204.86%
LOSSSV Poortugaal - Barendrecht4.334.19%
WINUE Tona - Barcelona B4.204.86%
LOSSDacia Buiucani - Zimbru Chisinau4.104.86%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Hvezda Cheb - Slovan Velvary14.204.86%21 Aug 18:00
Pick
1 @ 4.33
Kickoff
Giu 24, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.19% • n=77
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.19% • n=77
Start
Started 57d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 57d 23h ago
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