Atletico Barinas – Zamora

Model: TIPPSH

Atletico Barinas vs Zamora

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.90
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 19, 2026 11:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 19h 21m
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3h 2m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Atletico Barinas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Atletico BarinasGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.104 | A: -0.097

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

62/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.20First seen
Current3.90Now
Max odds4.20Highest point
Min odds3.90Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Atletico BarinasHOME
VS
ZamoraAWAY
LLLWL
Recent form
LLLWW
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.80
Defensive weakness
3.60
2.00
Shots on target for
5.40
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
6.40
7.60
Home splitL-W-W-W-W3.20 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-D0.50 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.90. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.87% based on n=129 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Venezuela Cup (ve). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.90
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Atletico Barinas's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 42.0% 7D: -11.2% 15D: -4.5% 30D: 1.5%
Model insight

Atletico Barinas – Zamora Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.87% across 129 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample11
Win Rate27.3%
Profit+0.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCD Estradense - Coruxo3.905.87%
LOSSSestri Levante - FC Vado3.905.56%
LOSSBjelovar - NK Krizevci3.795.87%
WINMlada Boleslav - Sparta Prague4.035.87%
LOSSGyeongnam FC - Daegu FC4.055.56%
LOSSFK Bumprom - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk3.945.87%
LOSSGuangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan4.115.87%
LOSSLyn 1896 U19 - Molde U193.905.87%
Pick
1 @ 3.90
Kickoff
Ago 19, 2026 11:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.87% • n=129
Start
Starts in 19h 21m
Updated
Updated 3h 2m ago
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