NSA Sofia (W) – Ludogorets Razgrad (W)

Model: TipTromba9H

NSA Sofia (W) vs Ludogorets Razgrad (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 8.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 27, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 4
StartStarted 50d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -6.05% · n=54
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 50d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NSA Sofia (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NSA Sofia (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.10First seen
Current8.90Now
Max odds8.90Highest point
Min odds3.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NSA Sofia (W)HOME
VS
Ludogorets Razgrad (W)AWAY
LDLLW
Recent form
WW
Avg goals scored
1.00
4.00
Defensive weakness
2.40
0.50
Shots on target for
6.40
9.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
3.50
Home splitL-L-L-W-W0.80 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-W4.00 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 8.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -6.05% based on n=54 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bulgaria Cup Women (bg). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd8.50
V2 BandNONEROI -6.05% · n=54
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor NSA Sofia (W). This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -28.7% 7D: -26.0% 15D: -14.5% 30D: -6.6%
Model insight

NSA Sofia (W) – Ludogorets Razgrad (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 8.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba9H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -6.05% across 54 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample43
Win Rate2.3%
Profit-34.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFiorentina (W) - Man City (W)8.50-0.15%
LOSSSC Campo Mourao - CE Uniao8.50-0.15%
LOSSEpitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Shakhtar Donetsk8.50-6.42%
LOSSShirak - FC Noah8.50-6.42%
WINEl Nacional - Club 9 de Octubre8.50-6.05%
LOSSUNSAAC (W) - Atletico Andahuaylas (W)8.50-6.05%
LOSSHolstebro - AaB8.50-7.07%
LOSSMoldova Beach - Italy Beach8.50-0.15%
Pick
1 @ 8.50
Kickoff
Giu 27, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -6.05% • n=54
Start
Started 50d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 50d 16h ago
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