FK Jelgava – SC Grobinas

Model: TIPPSH

FK Jelgava vs SC Grobinas

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.05
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 29, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2h 28m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Jelgava. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK Jelgava

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

37/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.22First seen
Current2.05Now
Max odds2.22Highest point
Min odds2.04Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK JelgavaHOME
VS
SC GrobinasAWAY
WWLDD
Recent form
DLWLL
Avg goals scored
2.20
0.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.20
Shots on target for
5.60
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
4.20
Home splitW-L-D-D-W1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-L-D0.40 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.05. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Latvia Virsliga (lv). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.05
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors FK Jelgava. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FK Jelgava's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 42.2% 7D: 17.6% 15D: 8.4% 30D: -0.9%
Model insight

FK Jelgava – SC Grobinas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample319
Win Rate47.3%
Profit-17.82u
Historical Similar Predictions
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WINInternacional U20 - Gremio U201.993.37%
LOSSNomads United - Christchurch United2.233.37%
LOSSPaysandu - Santa Cruz FC1.813.37%
WINStjarnan - KA Akureyri2.093.37%
WINLandskrona BoIS - IFK Varnamo2.023.37%
LOSSChangwon City - Yeoju1.863.37%
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Pick
1 @ 2.05
Kickoff
Giu 29, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Starts in 2h 28m
Updated
Updated 11m ago
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