Paysandu vs Santa Cruz FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Paysandu. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: PaysanduGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.67. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current price indicates market confidence, even if recent form does not show an overwhelming gap. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Paysandu is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Paysandu – Santa Cruz FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Iberia 1999 - Larne FC | 1.74 | -10.11% |
| LOSS | Institute - Ballinamallard Utd | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Ards FC - Dundela | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Clydebank FC - Hibernian B | 1.70 | -9.89% |
| WIN | Real Salt Lake - Juarez FC | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | FC Astana - Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 1.65 | -4.66% |
| LOSS | FK Transinvest - Panevezys | 1.65 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Philadelphia Union - Necaxa | 1.73 | -4.66% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Strabane Athletic (W) - Mid Ulster (W) | 1 | 1.67 | -9.21% | 12 Aug 20:30 |
| Morocco (W) - Cameroon (W) | 1 | 1.71 | -7.35% | 12 Aug 22:00 |
| San Diego FC - Puebla | 1 | 1.62 | -4.66% | 13 Aug 04:15 |
| Neom SC - Al Fayha | 1 | 1.72 | -7.35% | 14 Aug 18:50 |
| Chelsea - Real Sociedad | 1 | 1.63 | -9.21% | 15 Aug 15:00 |
| Odense BK - AC Horsens | 1 | 1.69 | -7.35% | 16 Aug 14:00 |