Jecheon Citizen – Gijang United

Model: TIPPSH

Jecheon Citizen vs Gijang United

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 28, 2026 12:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 47d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Jecheon Citizen. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Jecheon CitizenGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current2.02Now
Max odds2.15Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Jecheon CitizenHOME
VS
Gijang UnitedAWAY
DWLWD
Recent form
DWLLL
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.60
2.20
Shots on target for
4.20
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
6.00
Home splitD-W-D-W1.25 scored / 0.75 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-L-D1.00 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.90. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to South Korea K4 League (kr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.90
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Jecheon Citizen is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 31.0% 7D: 9.1% 15D: 4.7% 30D: 0.5%
Model insight

Jecheon Citizen – Gijang United Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample333
Win Rate51.1%
Profit-4.81u
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ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINKairat Almaty (W) - Kaisar Kyzylorda (W)1.963.37%
WINCruzeiro - Mirassol1.763.37%
WINBFC Daugavpils - Tukums 20001.753.37%
LOSSRennes - Brentford2.063.37%
WINPorthmadog - Rhyl2.103.37%
WINBayern Munich - Aston Villa1.923.37%
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Pick
1 @ 1.90
Kickoff
Giu 28, 2026 12:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 47d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 10h ago
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