Eastern Suburbs – Peninsula Power

Model: TipA1

Eastern Suburbs vs Peninsula Power

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.20
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 04, 2026 1:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 7h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Peninsula Power. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Peninsula Power

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

14/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.06First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds2.06Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Eastern SuburbsHOME
VS
Peninsula PowerAWAY
LLWWD
Recent form
WWWWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
3.00
Defensive weakness
1.60
0.80
Shots on target for
3.80
7.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
3.60
Home splitL-W-D-W-W2.40 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-W-L2.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.85% based on n=318 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Queensland (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.20
V2 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318
V4 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Peninsula Power. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Peninsula Power is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 55.6% 7D: 41.9% 15D: 17.3% 30D: 7.0%
Model insight

Eastern Suburbs – Peninsula Power Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.85% and -3.85%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample148
Win Rate51.4%
Profit+10.10u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINUnion Espanola - Colo Colo2.00-1.35%
LOSSDeportes Limache - Coquimbo Unido2.00-1.48%
WINCusco FC - Cienciano2.10-1.35%
LOSSAraruama FC - Olaria AC2.15-3.85%
LOSSBelgrano (W) - Racing Club (W)2.05-1.48%
LOSSMetroStars (W) - Modbury Vista (W)2.20-1.48%
WINFBK Karlstad - Hammarby TFF2.20-1.48%
LOSSBethesda SC - Annapolis Blues2.00-1.48%
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Pick
2 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Lug 04, 2026 1:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.85% • n=318
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.85% • n=318
Start
Starts in 2d 7h
Updated
Updated 9m ago
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