FBK Karlstad – Hammarby TFF

Model: TIPPSA

FBK Karlstad vs Hammarby TFF

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.04
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 26, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 7
StartStarted 55d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 55d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hammarby TFF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hammarby TFFGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

22/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.83First seen
Current2.05Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds1.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FBK KarlstadHOME
VS
Hammarby TFFAWAY
LWLWL
Recent form
WDWWL
Avg goals scored
1.60
3.00
Defensive weakness
2.80
0.60
Shots on target for
3.20
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
2.20
Home splitL-L-D-D-W1.00 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-W-W3.20 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.04. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.84% based on n=515 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 1.div Norra (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.04
V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Hammarby TFF a useful statistical edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Hammarby TFF has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -4.2% 7D: -4.4% 15D: 1.4% 30D: -0.2%
Model insight

FBK Karlstad – Hammarby TFF Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.04. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.84% across 515 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample82
Win Rate41.5%
Profit-9.85u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSAtlantis FC/PM - ToTe2.16-0.84%
LOSSRubin Kazan - Spartak Moscow2.04-0.84%
WINCK Troszyn - Warta Sieradz2.01-0.84%
LOSSPogon Sokol Lubaczow - Wisla Krakow II2.02-0.84%
LOSSStord - Åsane Fotball 22.11-0.84%
WINFollo - Rana FK2.09-0.84%
WINBaltika Kaliningrad - Spartak Moscow2.05-0.84%
LOSSRacing Santander - Villarreal2.12-0.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.04
Kickoff
Giu 26, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Start
Started 55d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 55d 19h ago
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