San Diego Wave (W) – NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Model: TIPPSH

San Diego Wave (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.89
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 05, 2026 4:45 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 23h 59m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8h 45m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is San Diego Wave (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: San Diego Wave (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

50/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.75First seen
Current2.89Now
Max odds2.89Highest point
Min odds2.75Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

San Diego Wave (W)HOME
VS
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)AWAY
WWLDW
Recent form
WWLLW
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.40
Shots on target for
5.80
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
4.60
Home splitL-W-L0.67 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-L1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.89. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA NWSL Women (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.89
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. San Diego Wave (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 73.9% 7D: 96.6% 15D: 31.4% 30D: 11.9%
Model insight

San Diego Wave (W) – NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.89. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample19
Win Rate42.1%
Profit+3.53u
Historical Similar Predictions
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LOSSRenaissance Zemamra - OC Safi2.854.53%
WINAtlantis FC/PM - Tips Vantaa2.984.53%
WINOkayama Yunogo Belle (W) - Setagaya Sfida (W)3.052.04%
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Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Las Vegas Lights FC - El Paso Locomotive FC12.844.53%05 Jul 04:30
Pick
1 @ 2.89
Kickoff
Lug 05, 2026 4:45 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Starts in 23h 59m
Updated
Updated 8h 45m ago
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