Eastern Suburbs Auckland – Birkenhead United

Model: TIPPSH

Eastern Suburbs Auckland vs Birkenhead United

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.79
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 27, 2026 7:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 7h 22m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Eastern Suburbs Auckland. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Eastern Suburbs Auckland

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

49/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.30First seen
Current3.20Now
Max odds4.30Highest point
Min odds3.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Eastern Suburbs AucklandHOME
VS
Birkenhead UnitedAWAY
LWLDW
Recent form
WLWWW
Avg goals scored
1.00
3.00
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.60
Shots on target for
8.20
9.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
2.80
Home splitW-L-D-W-W1.80 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-W-W3.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.79. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Northern League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.79
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 11.4% 7D: -15.4% 15D: -7.0% 30D: -2.8%
Model insight

Eastern Suburbs Auckland – Birkenhead United Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.79. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample23
Win Rate47.8%
Profit+6.56u
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LOSSAtletico Goianiense U20 - Goias U202.602.49%
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Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Nordic United FC - IK Oddevold12.602.49%27 Jun 17:00
Pick
1 @ 2.79
Kickoff
Giu 27, 2026 7:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Starts in 7h 22m
Updated
Updated 7m ago
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