Eastern Suburbs Auckland vs Birkenhead United
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Eastern Suburbs Auckland. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Eastern Suburbs AucklandValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.79. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Northern League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Eastern Suburbs Auckland – Birkenhead United Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Renaissance Zemamra - OC Safi | 2.85 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Atlantis FC/PM - Tips Vantaa | 2.98 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Ullern U19 - Lillehammer U19 | 2.59 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Busan Trans Corp - Gyeongju HNP | 2.74 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Atletico Goianiense U20 - Goias U20 | 2.60 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Villa Espanola - Villa Teresa | 2.65 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Hedensted IF - Norresundby | 2.81 | 4.53% |
| WIN | FC Baranovichi - FC Minsk | 2.90 | 4.53% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordic United FC - IK Oddevold | 1 | 2.60 | 2.49% | 27 Jun 17:00 |