Model: TIPPSH

Las Vegas Lights FC vs El Paso Locomotive FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.71

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 05, 2026 6:30 AM

ResultLOSS1 - 2

StartStarted 42d 4h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 43d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Las Vegas Lights FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Las Vegas Lights FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

38/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.84First seen

Current2.71Now

Max odds2.84Highest point

Min odds2.71Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Las Vegas Lights FCHOME

El Paso Locomotive FCAWAY

LLWLD

Recent form

WLDDL

Avg goals scored

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.20

Shots on target for

4.20

1.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

4.40

Home splitL-L-L-D-W1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-L-D-L-L1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.71. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL Championship (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.71

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Las Vegas Lights FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 81.8% 7D: 42.5% 15D: 20.0% 30D: 7.4%

Model insight

Las Vegas Lights FC – El Paso Locomotive FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.71. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample89

Win Rate37.1%

Profit-4.23u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Gualaceo SC - Atletico FC Guayaquil	2.61	1.59%
LOSS	FK Neratovice-Byskovice - FK Jablonec B	2.67	1.59%
WIN	Lautaro de Buin - Malleco Unido	2.50	1.59%
LOSS	Cardiff Draconians - Pontypridd Utd	2.66	1.59%
WIN	Alcoyano - Hercules	2.50	1.59%
WIN	Rosenborg - Viking FK	2.53	1.59%
WIN	Gold Coast United - Eastern Suburbs	2.55	1.59%
LOSS	Cerrito - Club Oriental	2.59	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.71

Kickoff

Lug 05, 2026 6:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 42d 4h ago

Updated

Updated 43d 12h ago