Model: TIPPSH

Dundalk vs Drogheda United

PREDICTION

@ 1.64

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 10, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 3h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 4h 54m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Dundalk. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Dundalk

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

2/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.63First seen

Current1.64Now

Max odds1.64Highest point

Min odds1.63Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

DundalkHOME

Drogheda UnitedAWAY

LLWWW

Recent form

LLDLD

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.40

2.20

Shots on target for

4.40

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.40

5.00

Home splitL-W-L-W-L1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.60 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.64. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland Premier Division (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.64

V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors Dundalk, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Dundalk has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 1.4% 7D: 39.2% 15D: 27.4% 30D: 15.4%

Model insight

Dundalk – Drogheda United Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.64. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample192

Win Rate58.3%

Profit-4.08u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Cento Cuore Harima - Ococias Kyoto AC	1.72	-9.21%
LOSS	Loudoun United FC - Sporting JAX	1.68	-9.21%
WIN	Provincial Osorno - General Velásquez	1.62	-9.21%
WIN	Ferro Carril Oeste - CA San Telmo	1.67	-7.35%
LOSS	CA Atlas Reserves - Centro Espanyol Reserves	1.75	-9.21%
WIN	Metrostars - West Torrens Birkalla	1.64	-9.21%
LOSS	Leiknir Reykjavik - Volsungur	1.71	-9.21%
WIN	Union Omaha - Antelope Valley Alta	1.65	-7.35%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC	1	1.63	-7.35%	05 Jun 12:30
Guijuelo - CDA Palencia	1	1.70	-9.21%	07 Jun 18:00

Pick

1 @ 1.64

Kickoff

Lug 10, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970

Start

Starts in 4d 3h

Updated

Updated 4h 54m ago