Al Nejmeh – Sagesse SC

Model: TipTromba2H

Al Nejmeh vs Sagesse SC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.73
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 08, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 16h 32m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 53m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Al Nejmeh. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Al Nejmeh

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

14/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.73First seen
Current1.74Now
Max odds1.81Highest point
Min odds1.73Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Al NejmehHOME
VS
Sagesse SCAWAY
WWWWL
Recent form
LWWDL
Avg goals scored
2.60
2.20
Defensive weakness
0.40
1.60
Shots on target for
6.60
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
1.20
3.20
Home splitW-W-W-W3.00 scored / 0.00 conceded
Away splitL-W0.50 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lebanon Cup (lb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.73
V2 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Al Nejmeh as the more reliable side. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Al Nejmeh is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -36.8% 7D: 13.3% 15D: 23.3% 30D: 14.0%
Model insight

Al Nejmeh – Sagesse SC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.73. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.89% and -1.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample358
Win Rate65.6%
Profit+19.55u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINHa Noi (W) - Ha Nam (W)1.57-3.82%
LOSSMacau Chiba FC - Cheng Fung1.73-1.89%
WINBrasil de Pelotas - Santa Cruz RS1.60-3.38%
WINClub Brugge - KV Kortrijk1.53-3.38%
WINMidtjylland - Silkeborg IF1.50-3.82%
LOSSCA Douglas Haig - Sportivo Las Parejas1.70-3.38%
WINFukuyama City FC - SRC Hiroshima1.53-1.89%
LOSSSK Sturm Graz - FC Kosice1.50-1.89%
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Pick
1 @ 1.73
Kickoff
Lug 08, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.89% • n=1157
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.89% • n=1157
Start
Starts in 16h 32m
Updated
Updated 53m ago
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