Model: TIPPSH

EC Juventude vs Vila Nova

PREDICTION

@ 1.85

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 11, 2026 2:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is EC Juventude. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: EC Juventude

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.98First seen

Current1.85Now

Max odds2.02Highest point

Min odds1.84Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

EC JuventudeHOME

Vila NovaAWAY

DWWWL

Recent form

WLWLW

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.60

Defensive weakness

0.40

1.40

Shots on target for

5.60

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.80

4.60

Home splitW-W-W-L-W2.20 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-W-L0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.85. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.85

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. EC Juventude is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -43.8% 7D: 12.3% 15D: 23.3% 30D: 13.0%

Model insight

EC Juventude – Vila Nova Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample271

Win Rate46.5%

Profit-28.19u

Historical Similar Predictions

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WIN	Excursionistas U20 - Lujan U20	1.89	1.04%
LOSS	Liaoning Tieren U20 - Qingdao Hainiu U20	1.93	1.04%
WIN	Maringa FC - Volta Redonda	1.86	1.04%
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WIN	Manly Utd - SD Raiders	2.02	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.85

Kickoff

Lug 11, 2026 2:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 3d

Updated

Updated 11m ago