Model: TIPPSH
Maringa FC vs Volta Redonda
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.86
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 05, 2026 2:00 AM
ResultWIN4 - 0
StartStarted 48d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 49d 17h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Maringa FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Maringa FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
27/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.72First seen
Current1.86Now
Max odds1.94Highest point
Min odds1.72Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Maringa FCHOME
VS
Volta RedondaAWAY
WDDDL
Recent form
LWLWW
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.20
Shots on target for
4.40
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
5.00
Home splitW-D-D-L-W1.80 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-L-L0.20 scored / 2.20 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.86. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.86
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 52.7%
7D: 58.4%
15D: 30.4%
30D: 11.7%
Model insight
Maringa FC – Volta Redonda Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.86. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample630
Win Rate51.6%
Profit-4.71u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | XV de Jau U20 - Porto Foot Ball U20 | 1.80 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | NuPS - LePa | 1.89 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Giugliano - Scafatese | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Elfsborg (W) - KIF Orebro (W) | 1.76 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Cracovia Krakow - Wieczysta Krakow | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| WIN | FK Mornar Bar - Buducnost Podgorica | 2.03 | 1.04% |
| WIN | HooGee - EPS Reservi | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Real Pilar Reserves - Excursionistas Reserves | 1.99 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Alajuelense (W) - Saprissa (W) | 1 | 1.75 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 04:00 |
| Tondela - Academica | 1 | 1.90 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 21:15 |
| West Adelaide (W) - Salisbury Inter (W) | 1 | 1.83 | 1.31% | 22 Aug 07:30 |
| Playford - White City FK Beograd | 1 | 1.83 | 1.04% | 22 Aug 07:30 |
| Fulham United FC - Adelaide Blue Eagles | 1 | 2.11 | 1.04% | 22 Aug 09:30 |
Pick
1 @ 1.86
Kickoff
Lug 05, 2026 2:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746
Start
Started 48d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 49d 17h ago