Spartans vs Arbroath
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Spartans. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: SpartansValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.75. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.09% based on n=255 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland League Cup (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market prices Spartans as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Spartans – Arbroath Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SV Horn - Floridsdorfer AC | 3.60 | 3.99% |
| LOSS | FC Ylivieska - FC Kiisto | 3.50 | 4.85% |
| LOSS | Peamount Utd (W) - Athlone Town (W) | 3.75 | 4.09% |
| LOSS | SCR Altach - Heidenheim | 3.90 | 4.09% |
| LOSS | San Luis Quillota - Everton de Vina | 3.60 | 3.99% |
| WIN | Kingston City - Nunawading | 3.80 | 4.09% |
| WIN | FC Solothurn - Young Boys II | 3.90 | 4.09% |
| WIN | Salus - Durazno | 3.60 | 4.85% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Cordoba SdE U20 - Atletico Tucuman U20 | 1 | 3.80 | 4.09% | 11 Jul 14:00 |
| Sligo Rovers (W) - Wexford FC (W) | 1 | 3.75 | 4.84% | 11 Jul 20:35 |