Model: TipTromba25H

Tukums 2000 vs SK Super Nova

PREDICTION

@ 2.38

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 11, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 2

StartStarted 21h 14m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.43% · n=121

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.43% · n=121

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tukums 2000. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tukums 2000

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.38First seen

Current2.39Now

Max odds2.39Highest point

Min odds2.38Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Tukums 2000HOME

SK Super NovaAWAY

LLLLL

Recent form

WLWLL

Avg goals scored

1.20

Defensive weakness

2.80

2.20

Shots on target for

4.60

2.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

6.40

Home splitL-L-W-D-L1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-L-L1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.38. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.43% based on n=121 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Latvia Cup (lv). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.38

V2 BandLOWROI 0.43% · n=121

V4 BandLOWROI 0.43% · n=121

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Tukums 2000 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 128.1% 7D: 24.4% 15D: 38.6% 30D: 15.3%

Model insight

Tukums 2000 – SK Super Nova Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.38. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba25H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 0.43% and 0.43%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample16

Win Rate43.8%

Profit+0.38u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Tuggeranong Utd (W) - West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)	2.30	0.43%
WIN	Omonia Nicosia - CS Dinamo Bucuresti	2.45	0.43%
WIN	Portugal - Croatia	2.25	0.43%
LOSS	Glenorchy Knights (W) - South Hobart (W)	2.15	0.77%
LOSS	Fortaleza CEIF U19 - Llaneros U19	2.38	0.43%
LOSS	Slovenia U19 (W) - Bosnia-Herzegovina U19 (W)	2.38	0.43%
LOSS	Central Espanol Reserves - Club Oriental Reserves	2.40	0.43%
WIN	Keflavik (W) - IA Akranes (W)	2.38	0.43%

Pick

1 @ 2.38

Kickoff

Lug 11, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.43% • n=121

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

0.43% • n=121

Start

Started 21h 14m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 16h ago