Model: TipTromba4H

Tonbridge Angels vs Sutton Utd

PREDICTION

@ 3.70

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 14, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 20h 27m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.45% · n=24

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.45% · n=24

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tonbridge Angels. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tonbridge Angels

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

24/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.70First seen

Current3.83Now

Max odds3.83Highest point

Min odds3.70Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Tonbridge AngelsHOME

Sutton UtdAWAY

WLWWD

Recent form

DLLLL

Avg goals scored

2.40

0.60

Defensive weakness

1.20

2.20

Shots on target for

6.40

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

6.00

Home splitW-L-W-L1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-D1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.70. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.45% based on n=24 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.70

V2 BandNONEROI -4.45% · n=24

V4 BandNONEROI -4.45% · n=24

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Tonbridge Angels has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Tonbridge Angels has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -6.8% 7D: 8.9% 15D: 24.2% 30D: 16.8%

Model insight

Tonbridge Angels – Sutton Utd Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.70. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -4.45% and -4.45%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample16

Win Rate50.0%

Profit+13.25u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	JyTy - SalPa 2	3.90	-3.05%
LOSS	Aarhus Fremad - SK Brann	3.70	-0.61%
LOSS	Hawkesbury City SC - Fraser Park	3.60	-4.45%
LOSS	Reyady Abaseya - Sagesse SC	3.50	-1.19%
WIN	Queanbeyan City - Monaro Panthers	3.70	-4.45%
WIN	Mitundu Baptist FC - Civil Service Utd	3.60	-1.19%
LOSS	Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) - Santos (W)	3.70	-4.45%
LOSS	Goiania U20 - Vila Nova U20	3.75	-3.05%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Matlock Town - Quorn	1	3.75	-3.05%	14 Jul 20:45

Pick

1 @ 3.70

Kickoff

Lug 14, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -4.45% • n=24

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-4.45% • n=24

Start

Starts in 20h 27m

Updated

Updated 9m ago