Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) – Santos (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) vs Santos (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 28, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 67d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.11% · n=16
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.11% · n=16
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 67d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Clube Atletico Piauiense (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.70First seen
Current4.73Now
Max odds4.84Highest point
Min odds3.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)HOME
VS
Santos (W)AWAY
DWWWD
Recent form
DLDLD
Avg goals scored
1.60
0.60
Defensive weakness
0.40
1.40
Shots on target for
6.80
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
4.60
Home splitD-W-W-L-W3.00 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitD-L-D-W-L1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.50. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.11% based on n=16 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Copa do Brazil Women (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.50
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.11% · n=16
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.11% · n=16
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Clube Atletico Piauiense (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 26.6% 7D: 28.3% 15D: 25.7% 30D: 8.2%
Model insight

Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) – Santos (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.11% and 4.11%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample1
Win Rate100.0%
Profit+3.26u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINAberdeen - Hearts4.264.11%
Pick
1 @ 4.50
Kickoff
Mag 28, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.11% • n=16
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.11% • n=16
Start
Started 67d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 67d 3h ago
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